Africa: Africa Weather Forecast launched its weekly summary (06 Feb – 12 Feb 2023). As per African weather reports, Thursday and Friday will most likely bring the most inclement weather to the central and eastern regions following a build-up of storms that starts on Wednesday over the central parts but in the far west on Monday and Tuesday.
A mini high-pressure cell will constrict thunderstorm development over the central and eastern interior, allowing very isolated storms around its periphery but scattered over the Cape interior.
Windy conditions over the Cape interior are expected to overlap within the Cape provinces providing W-NW winds reaching speeds between 30-70km/h this afternoon and Tuesday as a low develops in the southwestern parts of the country.
High chance of scattered showers and thundershowers over the central parts on Tuesday, forming a thick rainband across the central interior with light to moderate rainfall, moderate over the Eastern Cape.
On Tuesday, there is a high chance of morning fog and light rainfall in the Lowveld and north-eastern KwaZulu-Natal.
Between Wednesday and Friday, a Cut Off Low (COL) promotes widespread, relentless showers and thundershowers almost across the entire country (excluding the far west), precipitating moderate to slightly intense rainfall over the central interior, especially on Thursday and Friday.
On Wednesday, the Free State, central Eastern Cape, and western North West will be most impacted by the intense rainfall.
On Thursday, the system peaks and may incite the most inclement weather, adding hail and strong winds to the intense rainfall expected over most of the central and eastern interiors.
On Friday, most of the heavy rainfall, > 60mm, is expected in the east (KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga and Limpopo). In contrast, light to moderate rainfall is expected elsewhere in the east and the central parts.
Although over the weekend, the system shows signs of disintegration, there’s a high chance of showers and thundershowers in the east on Saturday and spreading further east on Sunday, leaving the central interior fine to partly cloudy.